Abstract
This paper investigates the reaction of global equity market sectors to sovereign rating news issued by the three largest credit rating agencies (CRAs), S&P, Moody's, and Fitch, during the period 10th August 1994 until 31st December 2019. Results show significant reactions by equity market sectors to sovereign rating news. This reaction is asymmetric as negative news affects market sectors more than positive news. Results also show considerable variations in the sectors' responses to sovereign credit news in developed and developing countries. In terms of three CRAs, S&P's actions induce the strongest market reaction in most sectors, while Moody's negative actions are relatively more informative in developing countries. Fitch's rating actions are the least influential. Solo upgrade (negative outlook/watch) signals are influential amongst positive (negative) event types. These results provide valuable insights to policymakers by identifying the most vulnerable sectors of the economy during different sovereign rating events.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 240-261 |
| Number of pages | 22 |
| Journal | International Review of Economics and Finance |
| Volume | 84 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Mar 2023 |
| Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- Asymmetric reaction
- Credit rating agencies
- Cumulative abnormal returns
- Equity market sectors
- Information content
- Market heterogeneity
- Sovereign credit ratings
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